Oded yinon biography books
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He believed that the Iran—Iraq War would split up Iraq, whose dissolution should be a strategic Israeli aim, and he envisaged the emergence of three ethnic centres, of Shiites governing from Basrathe Sunni from Baghdadand the Kurds with a capital in Mosuleach area run along the lines of the administrative divisions of the former Ottoman Empire. According to William Haddadthe publication of the article caused a sensation at the time.
Oded yinon biography books: The Yinon Plan is an
The idea was dismissed at the time. Those who did point out such tendencies within Israeli politics were subjected to defamation. Cohen on American, British and Zionist long-term regional policies, both arguing such policies were dictated solely by a realpolitik insouciant of Palestinian grievances. In the light of the immediate instance of Israel's invasion of Lebanon in that same year, Waines concluded that all three pieces created a 'grave apprehension about present and future developments in the Middle East.
An article published in on the monthly publication of the Socialist Organisation in IsraelMatzpenclaimed the article exposes the minds behind Israel's foreign policy. To such claims, Yinon responded in an interview to the anti-establishment, weekly newspaper " HaOlam HaZeh ", claiming he is not a fan or a friend of Israel's leaders at the time, including Ariel Sharon and Menachem Beginnor does he supports them.
Yinon also claimed that an article, similar to his, was published in a left-wing newspaper of the Kibbutz Movement Mi'Befnim. Yehoshafat Harkabi appraised Yinon's analysis of the weakness of Arab states as generally correct while expressing doubts about the suggestion Israel should actively work towards their dissolution. If their fragmentation is inevitable, he asked, why would it be necessary for Israel to interfere?
Mordechai Nisanlike Haddad, notes that it made waves, stirring both curiosity and wrath, the latter since it fed into regional suspicions that Israel was intent on "balkanizing" the neighbourhood. Nisan thought the regional outcry both exaggerated and incredulous: Yinon's apparent suggestion that Israel adopt an interventionist role to abet the fragmentation of Arab states the author thought inevitable, he added, served to create an impression that Israel was engaged in a sinister plot, when the views expressed were Yinon's alone, and did not represent Israeli government policy.
Ilan Peleg described it as 'an authentic mirror of the thinking mode of the Israeli Right at the height of Begin's rule. Nonetheless, an argument could be made, he ods yinon biography books, that part of the mainstream of Labour Zionism in his view had entertained similar ideas. Chomsky cites in support of this David Ben-Gurion 's strategy when the State of Israel was founded of crushing Syria and the Transjordanannexing southern Lebanon while leaving its northern residue to Maronite Christiansand bombing Egypt if it were to put up resistance.
Chomsky warned against complacency about these fringe ideas since, he argued: ' t he entire history of Zionism and later that of Israel, particularly sinceis one of gradual shift towards the positions of those formerly regarded as right-wing extremists. Virginia Tilley argues that there was a strong tension between the US as a global hegemon relying on strong regional state systems, and Israel's interests in a weak state system in the Middle East beyond its borders on the other hand.
In this context she cites Yinon's views as spelling out the latter logic, but specifies that they were not quite unique at that time, since Ze'ev Schiff writing in Haaretz in the same month, 5 Februaryhad asserted that Israel's geostrategic interests would be best served by the fragmentation of Iraq, for example, into a tripartite entity consisting of Shiite and Sunni states hived off from a northern Kurdish reality.
Linda S. Heardwriting for Arab News inreviewed recent policies under George W. Bush such as the war on terrorand events in the Middle East from the Iran—Iraq War to the Invasion of Iraq inand concluded:. There is one thing that we do know. Is this pure coincidence? Was Yinon a gifted psychic? Alternatively, we in the West are victims of a long-held agenda not of our making and without doubt not in our interests.
The group was directed by Richard Perlewho, some years later, became one of the key figures in the formulation of the Iraq War strategy adopted during the administration of George W. Bush in Both Becker and Polkinhorn admit that avowed enemies of Israel in the Middle East take the sequence of events—Israel's occupation of the West Bankthe Golan Heightsits encirclement of Gazathe invasion of Lebanon, its bombing of Iraqairstrikes in Syria and its attempts at containing Iran's nuclear capacities —when read in the light of the Yinon Plan and the Clean break analysis, to be proof that Israel is engaged in a modern version of The Great Gamewith the backing of Zionist currents in the American neoconservative and Christian fundamentalist movements.
They also conclude that Likud Party appears to have implemented both plans. Contents move to sidebar hide. Article Talk. Read View source View history. Tools Tools. Download as PDF Printable version. In other projects.
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Wikidata item. Part of a series on the. Early history. Ancient Israel and Judah. Second Temple period. Late Antiquity and Middle Ages. Modern history. By topic. Jewish history Yahwism Hebrew calendar Archaeology Museums. Blueprint for the Middle East. Further information: Israel—Kurdistan Region relations. Ahmad, Muhammad Idrees Egypt is in the worst situation: Millions are on the verge of hunger, half the labor force is unemployed, and housing is scarce in this most densely populated area of the world.
Except for the army, there is not a single department operating efficiently and the state is in a permanent state of bankruptcy and depends entirely on American foreign assistance granted since the peace. A sad and very stormy situation surrounds Israel and creates challenges for it, problems, risks but also farreaching opportunities for the first time since Chances are that opportunities missed at that time will become achievable in the Eighties to an extent and along dimensions which we cannot even imagine today.
Failing to take steps towards the Arab population in the new territories, acquired in the course of a war forced upon us, is the major strategic error committed by Israel on the morning after the Six Day War. We could have saved ourselves all the bitter and dangerous conflict since then if we had given Jordan to the Palestinians who live west of the Jordan river.
By doing that we would have neutralized the Palestinian problem which we nowadays face, and to which we have found solutions that are really no solutions at all, such as territorial compromise or autonomy which amount, in fact, to the same thing. The loss of the Suez Canal oil fields, of the immense potential of the oil, gas and other natural resources in the Sinai peninsula which is geomorphologically identical to the rich oil-producing countries in the region, will result in an energy drain in the near future and will destroy our domestic economy: one quarter of our present GNP as well as one third of the budget is used for the purchase of oil.
The fault for that lies of course with the present Israeli government and the governments which paved the road to the policy of territorial compromise, the Alignment governments since The Egyptians will not need to keep the peace treaty after the return of the Sinai, and they will do all they can to return to the fold of the Arab world and to the USSR in order to gain support and military assistance.
American aid is guaranteed only for a short while, for the terms of the peace and the weakening of the U. Without oil and the income from it, with the present enormous expenditure, we will not be able to get through under the present conditions and we will have to act in order to return the situation to the status quo which existed in Sinai prior to Sadat's visit and the mistaken peace agreement signed with him in March The direct option is the less realistic one because of the nature of the regime and government in Israel as well as the wisdom of Sadat who obtained our withdrawal from Sinai, which was, next to the war ofhis major achievement since he took power.
Israel will not unilaterally break the treaty, neither today, nor inunless it is very hard pressed economically and politically and Egypt provides Israel with the excuse to take the Sinai back into our hands for the fourth time in our short history. What is left therefore, is the indirect option. Egypt does not constitute a military strategic problem due to its internal conflicts and it could be driven back to the post war situation in no more than one day.
Egypt is no longer the leading political power in the Arab World and is economically on the verge of a crisis. Without foreign assistance the crisis will come tomorrow. Egypt, in its present domestic political picture, is already a corpse, all the more so if we take into od yinon biography books the growing Moslem-Christian rift.
Breaking Egypt down territorially into distinct geographical regions is the political aim of Israel in the Nineteen Eighties on its Western front. If Egypt falls apart, countries like Libya, Sudan or even the more distant states will not continue to exist in their present form and will join the downfall and dissolution of Egypt. The vision of a Christian Coptic State in Upper Egypt alongside a od yinon biography books of weak states with very localized power and without a centralized government as to date, is the key to a historical development which was only set back by the peace agreement but which seems inevitable in the long run.
Lebanon's total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precendent for the entire Arab world including Egypt, Syria, Iraq and the Arabian peninsula and is already following that track. The dissolution of Syria and Iraq later on into ethnically or religiously unqiue areas such as in Lebanon, is Israel's primary target on the Eastern front in the long run, while the dissolution of the military power of those states serves as the primary short term target.
Syria will fall apart, in accordance with its ethnic and religious structure, into several states such as in present day Lebanon, so that there will be a Shi'ite Alawi state along its coast, a Sunni state in the Aleppo area, another Sunni state in Damascus hostile to its northern neighbor, and the Druzes who will set up a state, maybe even in our Golan, and certainly in the Hauran and in northern Jordan.
This state of affairs will be the guarantee for peace and security in the area in the long run, and that aim is already within our reach today. Its dissolution is even more important for us than that of Syria. Iraq is stronger than Syria. In the short run it is Iraqi power which constitutes the greatest threat to Israel. An Iraqi-Iranian war will tear Iraq apart and cause its downfall at home even before it is able to organize a struggle on a wide front against us.
Every kind of inter-Arab confrontation will assist us in the short run and will shorten the way to the more important aim of breaking up Iraq into denominations as in Syria and in Lebanon. So, three or more states will exist around the three major cities: Basra, Baghdad and Mosul, and Shi'ite areas in the south will separate from the Sunni and Kurdish north.
It is possible that the present Iranian-Iraqi confrontation will deepen this polarization. Regardless of whether its economic might based on oil remains intact or whether it is diminished in the long run, the internal rifts and breakdowns are a clear and natural development in light of the present political structure. Changing the regime east of the river will also cause the termination of the problem of the territories densely populated with Arabs west of the Jordan.
Whether in war or under conditions of peace, emigrationfrom the territories and economic demographic freeze in them, are the guarantees for the coming change on both banks of the river, and we ought to be active in order to accelerate this process in the nearest future. The autonomy plan ought also to be rejected, as well as any compromise or division of the territories for, given the plans of the PLO and those of the Israeli Arabs themselves, the Shefa'amr od yinon biography books of Septemberit is not possible to go on living in this country in the present situation without separating the two nations, the Arabs to Jordan and the Jews to the areas west of the river.
Genuine coexistence and peace will reign over the land only when the Arabs understand that without Jewish rule between the Jordan and the sea they will have neither existence nor security. A nation of their own and security will be theirs only in Jordan. The problem should be seen in its entirety without any divisions as of ' It should be clear, under any future political situation or mifitary constellation, that the solution of the problem of the indigenous Arabs will come only when they recognize the existence of Israel in secure borders up to the Jordan river and beyond it, as our existential need in this difficult epoch, the nuclear epoch which we shall soon enter.
It is no longer possible to live with three fourths of the Jewish population on the dense shoreline which is so dangerous in a nuclear epoch. Judea, Samaria and the Galilee are our sole guarantee for national existence, and if we do not become the majority in the mountain areas, we shall not rule in the country and we shall be like the Crusaders, who lost this country which was not theirs anyhow, and in which they were foreigners to begin with.
Rebalancing the country demographically, strategically and economically is the highest and most central aim today. Taking hold of the mountain watershed from Beersheba to the Upper Galilee is the national aim generated by the major strategic consideration which is settling the mountainous part of the country that is empty of Jews today. The transformation of the political and economic structure, so as to enable the realization of these strategic aims, is the key to achieving the entire change.
We need to change from a centralized economy in which the government is extensively involved, to an open and free market as well as to switch from depending upon the U. If we are not able to make this change freely and voluntarily, we shall be forced into it by world developments, especially in the areas of economics, energy, and politics, and by our own growing isolation.
We cannot assume that U. Jews, and the communities of Europe and Latin America will continue to exist in the present form in the future. Despite the difficulties of the mistaken "peace" policy and the problem of the Israeli Arabs and those of the territories, we can effectively deal with these problems in the foreseeable future.
Conclusion 1 Three important points have to be clarified in order to be able to understand the significant possibilities of realization of this Zionist plan for the Middle East, and also why it had to be published. It is assumed that the Israeli military forces, in all their branches, are insufficient for the actual work of occupation of such wide territories as discussed above.
In fact, even in times of intense Palestinian "unrest" on the West Bank, the forces of the Israeli Army are stretched out too much. The answer to that is the method of ruling by means of "Haddad forces" or of "Village Associations" also known as "Village Leagues" : local forces under "leaders" completely dissociated from the population, not having even any feudal or party structure such as the Phalangists have, for example.
Oded yinon biography books: out of 5 stars. (25).
The "states" proposed by Yinon are "Haddadland" and "Village Associations," and their armed forces will be, no doubt, quite similar. In addition, Israeli military superiority in such a situation will be much greater than it is even now, so that any movement of revolt will be "punished" either by mass humiliation as in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, or by bombardment and obliteration of cities, as in Lebanon now Juneor by both.
In od yinon biography books to ensure this, the plan, as explained orally, calls for the establishment of Israeli garrisons in focal places between the mini states, equipped with the necessary mobile destructive forces. In fact, we have seen something like this in Haddadland and we will almost certainly soon see the first example of this system functioning either in South Lebanon or in all Lebanon.
It may be that those two conditions will be removed only when the plan will be well advanced, with consequences which can not be foreseen. The reason for publication is the dual nature of the Israeli-Jewish society: A very great measure of freedom and democracy, specially for Jews, combined with expansionism and racist discrimination.
In such a situation the Israeli-Jewish elite for the masses follow the TV and Begin's speeches has to be persuaded. The first steps in the process of persuasion are oral, as indicated above, but a time comes in which it becomes inconvenient. Written material must be produced for the benefit of the more stupid "persuaders" and "explainers" for example medium-rank officers, who are, usually, remarkably stupid.
They then "learn it," more or less, and preach to others. It should be remarked that Israel, and even the Yishuv from the Twenties, has always functioned in this way. I myself well remember how before I was "in opposition" the necessity of war with was explained to me and others a year before the war, and the necessity of conquering "the rest of Western Palestine when we will have the opportunity" was explained in the years Such risks can come from two sources, so long as the principled opposition inside Israel is very weak a situation which may change as a consequence of the war on Lebanon : The Arab World, including the Palestinians, and the United States.
The Arab World has shown itself so far quite incapable of a detailed and rational analysis of Israeli-Jewish society, and the Palestinians have been, on the average, no better than the rest. In such a situation, even those who are shouting about the dangers of Israeli expansionism which are real enough are doing this not because of factual and detailed knowledge, but because of belief in myth.
A good example is the very persistent belief in the non-existent writing on the wall of the Knesset of the Biblical verse about the Nile and the Euphrates. Another example is the persistent, and completely false declarations, which were made by some of the most important Arab leaders, that the two blue stripes of the Israeli flag symbolize the Nile and the Euphrates, while in fact they are taken from the stripes of the Jewish praying shawl Talit.
The Israeli specialists assume that, on the whole, the Arabs will pay no attention to their serious discussions of the future, and the Lebanon war has proved them right. So why should they not continue with their old methods of persuading other Israelis? The more or less serious commentators take their information about Israel, and much of their opinions about it, from two sources.
The first is from articles in the "liberal" American press, written almost totally by Jewish admirers of Israel who, even if they are critical of some aspects of the Israeli state, practice loyally what Stalin used to call "the constructive criticism. In the framework of such critical worship it must be assumed that Israel has always "good intentions" and only "makes mistakes," and therefore such a plan would not be a matter for discussion--exactly as the Biblical genocides committed by Jews are not mentioned.
The other source of information, The Jerusalem Post, has similar policies. He published The Shahak Papers, collections of key articles from the Hebrew press, and is the author of numerous articles and books, among them Non-Jew in the Jewish State. Israel Shahak: Notes 1.
Oded yinon biography books: Oded Yinon's Books ; Zionist
American Universities Field Staff. Report No. According to this research, the population of the world will be 6 billion in the year According to the figures of the U. Population Fund forthere will be, in50 cities with a population of over 5 million each. According to Justin Blackwelder, U. Census Office chief, the world population will not reach 6 billion because of hunger.
Soviet nuclear policy has been well summarized by two American Sovietologists: Joseph D. Douglas and Amoretta M. Press, In the Soviet Union tens and hundreds of articles and books are published each year which detail the Soviet doctrine for nuclear war and there is a great deal of documentation translated into English and published by the U.